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A 15-Year Climatology of North Atlantic Tropical Cyclones. Part I: Size Parameters

机译:北大西洋热带气旋15年气候。第一部分:尺寸参数

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The extended best-track (EBT) dataset combines the information contained in the tropical cyclone best-track dataset with measurements of tropical cyclone "size parameters." These parameters include the radii of the eye (REYE), maximum winds (RMW), gale-force winds (or size; 17.5 m s~(-1); R17), damaging-force winds (25.7 m s~(-1); R26), hurricane-force winds (32.9 m s~(-1); R33), and the outermost closed isobar (ROCI). The latest update of this dataset, to be used in this study for a size parameter climatology, contains the size parameters for North Atlantic tropical cyclones from 1988 to 2002. Such a climatology has not yet been established in this basin. Most of the results of this North Atlantic study agree with documented tropical cyclone theoryand results from similar studies of northwest Pacific tropical cyclones. This provides confidence that the observations of the size parameters in the dataset are reliable. Furthermore, data west and east of 55°W (the boundary beyond which no aircraft observations are made) are compared. Some differences occur in some of the size parameters, but the sample west of 55°W is significantly larger and displays a greater spread. This provides confidence that the total dataset may not be affected by the nonaircraft data east of 55°W. The spatial and temporal distribution of the size parameters is investigated. The radii of gale-force (R17), damaging-force (R26), and hurricane-force (R33) winds tend to increase as storms move poleward and westward. North of40°N, R33 and R26 decrease, while R17 increases. This is a reflection of storm weakening after recurvature. Gulf of Mexico storms have larger ROCIs but smaller eyes, R33s, R26s, and R17s than North Atlantic storms between 50° and 80°W. Gulf systems tend to form in the gulf instead of moving into this area from the Atlantic. Gulf incipient systems are likely to be tropical upper-tropospheric trough (TUTT) cells or monsoon trough features from the eastern Pacific instead of easterly waves from Africa.Early-season storms tend to be small; late-season storms are larger; and storm size peaks in September. Weakening storms tend to have smaller eyes than intensifying storms; most weakening storms are intense systems that have reached the end of their intensification and eyewall contraction process. These highly organized systems take a long time to spin down. Weak systems with large eyes take a long time to get organized and require a long time to intensify. Knowledge of the areal extent of damaging winds will provide forecasters and emergency managers with additional information to assess the damage potential of approaching storms.
机译:扩展的最佳跟踪(EBT)数据集将热带气旋最佳跟踪数据集中包含的信息与热带气旋“大小参数”的测量值结合在一起。这些参数包括眼睛的半径(REYE),最大风(RMW),烈风(或大小; 17.5 ms〜(-1); R17),破坏力风(25.7 ms〜(-1); R26),飓风风(32.9 ms〜(-1); R33)和最外面的封闭等压线(ROCI)。该数据集的最新更新将用于本研究的大小参数气候学,其中包含1988年至2002年北大西洋热带气旋的大小参数。在该盆地尚未建立这种气候学。这项北大西洋研究的大部分结果与文献记载的热带气旋理论和西北太平洋热带气旋的类似研究结果相吻合。这提供了对数据集中大小参数的观察结果可靠的信心。此外,还比较了55°W以西和以东的数据(没有观察到飞机的边界)。在某些尺寸参数上会出现一些差异,但55°W以西的样本明显更大,并且展布更大。这提供了信心,即整个数据集可能不会受到55°W以东的非飞机数据的影响。研究了尺寸参数的时空分布。随着风暴向西和向西移动,大风的半径(R17),破坏力(R26)和飓风的半径(R33)趋于增加。在40°N以北,R33和R26减小,而R17增加。这反映了曲率恢复后风暴减弱。与50°至80°W的北大西洋风暴相比,墨西哥湾风暴的ROCI较大,但眼图,R33,R26和R17较小。海湾系统倾向于在海湾中形成,而不是从大西洋进入该区域。海湾的初期系统很可能是东太平洋的热带对流层低层槽(TUTT)单元或季风槽特征,而不是非洲的东风浪。后期风暴更大;九月的暴风雨高峰。减弱的风暴的目光比增强的风暴要小。减弱程度最大的风暴是强度很高的系统,它们的强度和眼墙收缩过程已经结束。这些高度组织的系统需要很长时间才能分解。大眼睛的弱系统需要很长时间才能井井有条,并且需要很长时间才能强化。了解风的破坏范围将为预报员和应急管理人员提供更多信息,以评估即将来临的风暴的潜在危害。

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