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首页> 外文期刊>Hydrology and Earth System Sciences >Ordinary kriging as a tool to estimate historical daily streamflow records
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Ordinary kriging as a tool to estimate historical daily streamflow records

机译:普通克里格法作为估算历史每日流量记录的工具

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摘要

Efficient and responsible management of water resources relies on accurate streamflow records. However, many watersheds are ungaged, limiting the ability to assess and understand local hydrology. Several tools have been developed to alleviate this data scarcity, but few provide continuous daily streamflow records at individual streamgages within an entire region. Building on the history of hydrologic mapping, ordinary kriging was extended to predict daily streamflow time series on a regional basis. Pooling parameters to estimate a single, time-invariant characterization of spatial semivariance structure is shown to produce accurate reproduction of streamflow. This approach is contrasted with a time-varying series of variograms, representing the temporal evolution and behavior of the spatial semivariance structure. Furthermore, the ordinary kriging approach is shown to produce more accurate time series than more common, single-index hydrologic transfers. A comparison between topological kriging and ordinary kriging is less definitive, showing the ordinary kriging approach to be significantly inferior in terms of Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiencies while maintaining significantly superior performance measured by root mean squared errors. Given the similarity of performance and the computational efficiency of ordinary kriging, it is concluded that ordinary kriging is useful for first-order approximation of daily streamflow time series in ungaged watersheds.
机译:有效和负责任的水资源管理依赖于准确的流量记录。但是,许多流域没有使用,限制了评估和了解当地水文学的能力。已经开发了几种工具来缓解这种数据稀缺性,但是很少有工具可以在整个区域内的各个流量上提供连续的每日流量记录。在水文制图历史的基础上,普通克里金法得到了扩展,可以在区域基础上预测日流量时间序列。示出了用于估计空间半方差结构的单个时不变特征的合并参数,以产生准确的流再现。该方法与一系列随时间变化的变异函数形成对比,变异函数序列代表了空间半变异结构的时间演化和行为。此外,与普通的单指数水文传输相比,普通克里金法显示的时间序列更准确。拓扑克里金法和普通克里金法之间的比较确定性较差,这表明就Nash-Sutcliffe模型效率而言,普通克里金法明显较差,同时通过均方根误差来衡量,其性能仍显着优越。考虑到常规克里金法的性能和计算效率的相似性,得出的结论是,普通克里金法可用于非流域日流时间序列的一阶逼近。

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