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Comparison of drought indicators derived from multiple data sets over Africa

机译:来自非洲多个数据集的干旱指标比较

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Drought monitoring is a key component to miti- gate impacts of droughts. Lack of reliable and up-to-date pre-cipitation data sets is a common challenge across the globe. This study investigates different data sets and drought indi-cators on their capability to improve drought monitoring in Africa. The study was performed for four river basins located in different climatic regions (the Oum er-Rbia in Morocco, the Blue Nile in eastern Africa, the Upper Niger in western Africa, and the Limpopo in southeastern Africa) as well as the Greater Horn of Africa. The ?ve precipitation data sets compared are the ECMWF ERA-Interim reanalysis, the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission satellite monthly rainfall product 3B-43, the Global Precipitation Climatology Centre gridded precipitation data set, the Global Precipitation Climatology Project Global Monthly Merged Precipitation Analyses, and the Climate Prediction Center Merged Analysis of Precipitation. The set of drought indicators used includes the Standardized Precip-itation Index, the Standardized Precipitation-Evaporation In-dex, and Soil Moisture Anomalies. A comparison of the annual cycle and monthly precipita-tion time series shows a good agreement in the timing of the rainy seasons. The main differences between the data sets are in the ability to represent the magnitude of the wet seasons and extremes. Moreover, for the areas affected by drought, all the drought indicators agree on the time of drought on-set and recovery although there is disagreement on the extent of the affected area. In regions with limited rain gauge data the estimation of the different drought indicators is charac-terized by a higher uncertainty. Further comparison suggests that the main source of differences in the computation of the drought indicators is the uncertainty in the precipitation data sets rather than the estimation of the distribution parameters of the drought indicators.
机译:干旱监测是缓解干旱影响的关键组成部分。缺乏可靠和最新的降水数据集是全球普遍的挑战。这项研究调查了不同数据集和干旱指标改善非洲干旱监测的能力。这项研究是针对位于不同气候区域的四个流域(摩洛哥的Oum er-Rbia,非洲东部的青尼罗河,西部非洲的上尼日尔和非洲东南部的林波波河)以及墨西哥的大角地区进行的。非洲。比较的五个降水数据集是ECMWF ERA中期再分析,热带降雨测量团卫星月降水量3B-43,全球降水气候中心网格化降水数据集,全球降水气候学项目全球每月合并降水分析以及气候预测中心合并了降水分析。使用的干旱指标集包括标准化降水指数,标准化降水-蒸发指数和土壤湿度异常。对年度周期和每月降水时间序列的比较表明,在雨季的时间安排上有很好的一致性。数据集之间的主要区别在于表示雨季和极端天气数量的能力。此外,对于受干旱影响的地区,尽管在受灾地区的范围上存在分歧,但所有干旱指标都与干旱的发生和恢复时间一致。在雨量计数据有限的地区,不同干旱指标的估计具有较高的不确定性。进一步的比较表明,干旱指标计算差异的主要来源是降水数据集的不确定性,而不是干旱指标分布参数的估计。

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