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首页> 外文期刊>Tropical Medicine and International Health: TM and IH >Spatial analysis of tuberculosis in an urban west African setting: is there evidence of clustering?
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Spatial analysis of tuberculosis in an urban west African setting: is there evidence of clustering?

机译:西非城市地区结核病的空间分析:是否有聚类证据?

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OBJECTIVES: To describe the pattern of tuberculosis (TB) occurrence in Greater Banjul, The Gambia with Geographical Information Systems (GIS) and Spatial Scan Statistics (SaTScan) and to determine whether there is significant TB case clustering. METHODS: In Greater Banjul, where 80% of all Gambian TB cases arise, all patients with TB registered at chest clinics between March 2007 and February 2008 were asked to participate. Demographic, clinical characteristics and GPS co-ordinates for the residence of each consenting TB case were recorded. A spatial scan statistic was used to identify purely spatial and space-time clusters of tuberculosis among permanent residents. RESULTS: Of 1145 recruited patients with TB, 84% were permanent residents with 88% living in 37 settlements that had complete maps available down to settlement level. Significant high- and low-rate spatial and space-time clusters were identified in two districts. The most likely cluster of high rate from both the purely spatial analysis and the retrospective space-time analysis were from the same geographical area. A significant secondary cluster was also identified in one of the densely populated areas of the study region. CONCLUSIONS: There is evidence of significant clustering of TB cases in Greater Banjul, The Gambia. Systematic use of cluster detection techniques for regular TB surveillance in The Gambia may aid effective deployment of resources. However, passive case detection dictates that community-based active case detection and risk factor surveys would help confirm the presence of true clusters and their causes.
机译:目的:描述冈比亚大班珠尔,地理信息系统(GIS)和空间扫描统计数据(SaTScan)的结核病(TB)发生方式,并确定是否存在明显的结核病病例聚类。方法:在大班珠尔,那里有80%的冈比亚结核病病例出现,要求所有在2007年3月至2008年2月期间在胸部诊所登记的结核病患者参加。记录每个同意结核病病例居住的人口统计学,临床特征和GPS坐标。空间扫描统计数据用于确定永久居民中结核的纯粹时空集群。结果:在1145名招募的结核病患者中,84%是永久居民,88%居住在37个居民点中,这些居民点具有完整的地图,直至居民点水平。在两个地区确定了重要的高,低速时空集群。从纯粹的空间分析和回顾性时空分析来看,最有可能的高比率聚类来自同一地理区域。在研究区域的一个人口稠密地区中,还发现了一个重要的次级集群。结论:有证据表明冈比亚大班珠尔的结核病病例大量聚集。系统地将群集检测技术用于冈比亚的常规结核病监测可能有助于资源的有效部署。但是,被动案例检测要求基于社区的主动案例检测和风险因素调查将有助于确认真实集群的存在及其成因。

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