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Boom or bust? Estimating blood demand and supply as the baby boomers age.

机译:繁荣还是萧条?随着婴儿潮出生的人的年龄,估计血液的需求和供应。

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摘要

On January 1, 2011, the first-born of the baby boomer generation celebrated their 65th birthday. The social and economic impact caused by the aging and retirement of those born between 1946 and 1964 has long been debated and is now upon us. For the blood banking industry in the United States, little has been discussed publicly with even less preparation for the coming changes. US blood centers appear oblivious to the possible effect of shirting demographics and are poorly prepared to forecast long-term blood demands, raising the specter of future blood shortages even as the industry wallows presently in an apparent glut of blood. While the National Blood Collection and Utilization Survey (NBCUS) has proven a powerful tool to track blood donation, and the US Census Bureau has mapped and predicted the effects of demographic changes well into the future, inadequate information on the demographics of blood use in our hospitals and those factors that influence utilization has left us without the tools we need to inform policy.
机译:2011年1月1日,婴儿潮一代的第一胎庆祝了自己的65岁生日。长期以来一直争论着由1946年至1964年之间出生的人的衰老和退休所造成的社会和经济影响,现在已经在我们身上。对于美国的血液银行业,很少公开讨论,甚至没有为即将到来的变化做准备。美国血液中心似乎没有注意到衬衫人口统计的可能影响,并且对预测长期血液需求的准备不足,即使该行业目前陷入明显的血液过剩,也增加了未来血液短缺的可能性。尽管美国国家血液收集和利用调查(NBCUS)已证明是追踪献血的有力工具,而美国人口普查局已经绘制并预测了人口变化对未来的影响,但关于我们的血液使用人口统计信息不足医院以及那些影响利用率的因素,使我们失去了制定政策所需的工具。

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