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首页> 外文期刊>Transactions of the Canadian Society for Mechanical Engineering >Modeling statistical uncertainties in robust engineering design
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Modeling statistical uncertainties in robust engineering design

机译:在可靠的工程设计中对统计不确定性进行建模

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摘要

Robust design deals with the goal of achieving a targeted high performance when the system is subjected to exterior disturbances or fluctuations. Although several robust design schemes have been proposed by different researchers, they have all omitted the effects of statistically induced uncertainties associated with empirical design parameters (such as material properties and applied loads), on the design's performance. This work aims at developing an adaptive robust design approach for handling evolutionary statistical uncertainties present in the problem formulation via Bayesian statistics. By realizing the statistical nature of design parameters (i.e. the more experimental data collected. The closer the parameter estimates will be to their true values), the proposed robust design scheme allows a designer to adjust and update the empirical parameters continuously during the design progression, provided that new or additional (experimental) data are generated, measured, and collected in a prescribed sequence. A welded beam design problem is considered to illustrate the proposed approach, in which a Monte Carlo technique is employed to simulate the statistical feature of the (empirical) design parameters.
机译:健壮的设计旨在在系统遭受外部干扰或波动时实现目标高性能。尽管不同的研究人员已经提出了几种可靠的设计方案,但它们都忽略了与经验设计参数(例如材料特性和施加的载荷)相关的统计上的不确定性对设计性能的影响。这项工作旨在开发一种适应性强的设计方法,以处理通过贝叶斯统计在问题表述中出现的进化统计不确定性。通过了解设计参数的统计性质(即收集的实验数据越多。参数估计值越接近其真实值),所提出的稳健设计方案允许设计人员在设计过程中不断调整和更新经验参数,只要以规定的顺序生成,测量和收集新的或附加的(实验)数据。考虑采用焊接梁设计问题来说明所提出的方法,其中采用蒙特卡洛技术来模拟(经验)设计参数的统计特征。

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