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首页> 外文期刊>The Mathematical gazette >Should we play on your lawn or mine?
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Should we play on your lawn or mine?

机译:我们应该在您的草坪还是我的地上玩耍?

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摘要

Two friends, David and Hamish, were discussing on the telephone whether they should play a forthcoming croquet match at David's club or at Hamish's. Hamish said that he would toss a coin and David could call. David pointed out that this required a substantial degree of mutual trust, so Hamish suggested how they might use the published results of the following night's National Lottery draw. Hamish's proposal was, in fact, unfair and this article shows why and proposes a satisfactory alternative. There is no suggestion that the alternative proposed is a sensible way to solve David and Hamish's problem, but it does take us on a route that reinforces some important lessons. In particular it illustrates some of the advantages and disadvantages of the use of simulation, a technique widely used in more difficult problems. It also emphasises once more the importance in probability of not taking claims at face value.
机译:David和Hamish这两个朋友正在电话中讨论他们是否应该在David俱乐部或Hamish's进行槌球比赛。哈米什(Hamish)说,他会扔硬币,大卫可以打电话。大卫指出,这需要一定程度的相互信任,因此哈米什(Hamish)建议他们如何使用第二天晚上的国家彩票开奖结果。哈米什的提议实际上是不公平的,本文说明了原因并提出了令人满意的替代方案。没有建议的替代方案是解决戴维和哈米什问题的明智方法,但这确实使我们走上了巩固一些重要教训的道路。特别地,它说明了使用模拟的一些优点和缺点,模拟是在较困难的问题中广泛使用的一种技术。它还再次强调了不按面值提出索赔的可能性的重要性。

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