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Thermal environments of overwintering Eastern Box Turtles (Terrapene carolina carolina)

机译:东部箱龟(Terrapene carolina carolina)越冬的热环境

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摘要

Using a mixed-effects model for 21 Eastern Box Turtles (Terrapene carolina carolina (L., 1758)) over three winters in Maryland, USA, we demonstrate that overwintering-site temperature was mainly related to air temperature. After controlling for air temperature, between-year variation accounted for 7%, between-turtle variation accounted for 3%, and variation owing to age class accounted for 1% of the total variation in overwintering-site temperature. Turtles showed overwintering-site fidelity and the location of overwintering sites did not depend on sex or age. According to the developed function, air temperature would have to increase by 3 degrees C over the overwintering period to raise the temperature of overwintering sites by about 1 degrees C, assuming no changes in other environmental factors; this level of warming is not expected until 2070-2090 according to general climate circulation models.
机译:使用美国马里兰州三个冬季的21个东部盒龟(Terrapene carolina carolina(L.,1758))的混合效应模型,我们证明了越冬现场温度主要与气温有关。在控制了气温之后,年际变化占7%,海龟之间的变化占3%,年龄组的变化占越冬现场温度总变化的1%。乌龟表现出越冬地点的保真度,越冬地点的位置不取决于性别或年龄。根据开发的功能,假设其他环境因素不变,则整个越冬期间的气温必须升高3摄氏度,以使越冬地点的温度升高约1摄氏度。根据一般的气候循环模型,这种变暖水平要到2070年至2090年才能实现。

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