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Nocturnal Emissions: A Failure to Replicate

机译:夜间排放:复制失败

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摘要

A time series of nocturnal emissions was presented in The American Journal of Psychology in 1904. The anonymous author of this remarkable article provided the time series to support his contention that his nocturnal emissions exhibited a seasonal pattern of variation. Specifically, he claimed to have heightened emissions during spring and summer, with dampened emissions later. The basis for this claim was a time series graph of average emissions by month across an 8-year period. The purpose of this article is to reanalyze these data with statistical procedures developed in the past century to validate the original conclusion drawn by the author. After analyses of the data with several state-of-the-art methods, no statistical support was found for a seasonal pattern of nocturnal emissions.
机译:1904年,《美国心理学杂志》提出了夜间排放的时间序列。这篇非凡文章的匿名作者提供了时间序列,以支持他的论点,即夜间排放具有季节性变化的规律。具体来说,他声称在春季和夏季增加了排放,后来减少了排放。该声明的依据是8年期间每月平均排放量的时间序列图。本文的目的是使用上个世纪开发的统计程序重新分析这些数据,以验证作者得出的原始结论。在使用几种最先进的方法对数据进行分析之后,没有发现夜间排放的季节性模式的统计支持。

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