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Understanding confidence intervals

机译:了解置信区间

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摘要

Increasingly, surgical research articles are citing confidence intervals (CIs) when reporting treatment effects. It is important to understand the theory behind CIs so that present and future surgical literature can be correctly interpreted and clinically useful information gained to help guide treatment decisions. The move toward including CIs is predominantly owing to them providing more information for the clinician regarding research results. In general, with p values, research results can be deemed statistically significant or not, whereas treatment effect and its corresponding CIs can give information regarding the magnitude of the difference between 2 treatments and the interval of values within which the true value is likely to be found.1 This provides information as to whether results are clinically important.2 To illustrate how CIs work, how to interpret them and how to critically appraise the validity of evidence using CIs of a treatment effect, a surgical problem and the critical appraisal of research findings are presented in this article.
机译:外科研究文章越来越多地在报告治疗效果时引用置信区间(CI)。重要的是要理解CI背后的理论,以便可以正确地解释当前和未来的外科文献,并获得有助于指导治疗决策的临床有用信息。之所以要包括CI,是因为它们为临床医生提供了有关研究结果的更多信息。通常,使用p值,可以认为研究结果是否具有统计学显着性,而治疗效果及其相应的CI可以提供有关2种治疗之间差异的大小以及可能是真实值的值区间的信息已发现。1这提供了有关结果是否在临床上重要的信息。2说明了CI的工作方式,如何解释它们以及如何使用CI对治疗效果,手术问题和研究的严格评估进行严格的证据有效性评估本文介绍了研究结果。

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