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MODELING THE MINSKY TRIAD: A FRAMEWORK TO PERFORM REFLEXIVE M&S STUDIES

机译:模拟明斯克三叉戟:进行反思性M&S研究的框架

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摘要

In this paper, we propose a general framework to evaluate models of systems that are ill defined, incompletely known, and furthermore, which cannot be experimented in real conditions, such as the economical systems at the country scale, epidemics (for obvious ethical reasons) or any natural disasters, for instance where human lives are the main issue. Our framework relies on the generic Marvin Minsky's definition of a model and its specification in the frame of the Theory of Modeling and Simulation, initiated by B. P. Zeigler. Such a dynamic system vision of the Marvin Minsky model definition enables to address original questions using what we have called the Minsky triad model, i.e., a coupled model composed of the model of the user, the model of a real system, and the model of this later model. We think that the Minsky triad model is very promising as a framework to design decision support systems for crisis management.
机译:在本文中,我们提出了一个通用框架,用于评估定义不明确,不完全了解的系统模型,此外,这些模型无法在实际条件下进行试验,例如国家规模的经济系统,流行病(出于明显的伦理原因)或任何自然灾害(例如,以生命为主要问题)。我们的框架依赖于Marvin Minsky对模型的定义及其规范,该模型及其规范由B. P. Zeigler发起。马文·明斯基(Marvin Minsky)模型定义的这种动态系统视野使我们能够使用所谓的明斯基(Minsky)三合一模型来解决原始问题,即由用户模型,实际系统模型和模型组成的耦合模型。后来的模型。我们认为,作为设计危机管理决策支持系统的框架,明斯基三合会模型非常有前途。

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