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WSI raises 2011 hurricane forecast, says Gulf Coast at high risk

机译:墨西哥湾海岸处于高风险状态,WSI上调2011年飓风预报

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摘要

Washington - Private weather forecaster WSI Wednesday raised its 2011 Atlantic hurricane forecast to 18 named storms, eight hurricanes and four intense hurricanes of Category 3 or above from its earlier prediction of 15 named storms, eight hurricanes and four major hurricanes. "Before Irene, this season had been characterized by a slew of weak/moderate tropical storms. To date, we have already had nine named storms and we're still two to three weeks away from the mid-point of the season," WSI Chief Meteorologist Todd Crawford said in a statement. "Because of this, we had no choice but to increase our named storms forecast from 15 to 18; and the current pace suggests that even this number may be too low. Most of the important drivers for tropical activity continue to indicate that the remainder of the season should be quite active, including warmer-than-normal North Atlantic water temperatures, very low surface pressures in the main development region and no impending El Nino event."
机译:华盛顿-私人天气预报员WSI周三将其对2011年大西洋飓风的预报从先前对15次命名风暴,八次飓风和四次主要飓风的预测提高到18次命名为飓风,八次飓风和四类3级及以上的强烈飓风。 WSI表示:“在艾琳(Erene)之前,这个季节的特点是出现了一系列微弱/中度的热带风暴。到目前为止,我们已经有9次暴风雨,而距季节中点还有两到三周的时间。”首席气象学家托德·克劳福德在一份声明中说。 “因此,我们别无选择,只能将命名的风暴预报从15个增加到18个;目前的步伐表明,这个数字可能也太低了。大多数热带活动的重要驱动因素继续表明,其余的这个季节应该非常活跃,包括北大西洋的水温要高于正常水平,主要发展地区的地表压力非常低,而且没有即将发生的厄尔尼诺现象。”

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