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The global economy is in a severe recession inflicted by a massive financial crisis and acute loss of confidence. While the rate of contraction should moderate from the second quarter onward, world output is projected to decline by 1.3 percent in 2009 as a whole and to recover only gradually in 2010, growing by 1.9 percent. Achieving this turnaround will depend on stepping up efforts to heal the financial sector, while continuing to support demand with monetary and fiscal easing.rnEconomies around the world have been seriously affected by the financial crisis and slump in activity. The advanced economies experienced an unprecedented 7(1/2) percent decline in real GDP during the fourth quarter of 2008, and output is estimated to have continued to fall almost as fast during the first quarter of 2009. Although the U.S. economy may have suffered most from intensified financial strains and the continued fall in the housing sector, western Europe and advanced Asia have been hit hard by the collapse in global trade, as well as by rising financial problems of their own and housing corrections in some national markets.
机译:大规模的金融危机和严重的信心丧失造成全球经济严重衰退。虽然从第二季度开始收缩率将有所下降,但预计2009年全年世界总产值将下降1.3%,而到2010年将仅逐渐回升,增长1.9%。要实现这一好转,将取决于加大努力以治愈金融部门,同时继续通过货币和财政宽松政策来支持需求。rn世界各地的经济受到金融危机和经济活动下滑的严重影响。发达经济体在2008年第四季度的实际GDP下降了史无前例的7%(1/2),估计2009年第一季度的产出下降速度几乎一样快。尽管美国经济可能遭受了大部分来自金融危机加剧和住房部门持续下滑的影响,西欧和发达亚洲受到全球贸易崩溃,自身金融问题上升以及某些国家市场住房调整的打击。

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    《World Economic Outlook》 |2009年第4期|236-241|共6页
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