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Did The 2008 Tax Rebates Stimulate Spending?

机译:2008年的退税刺激了支出吗?

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摘要

Only one-fifth of respondents to a rider on the University of Michigan Survey Research Center's Monthly Survey said that the 2008 tax rebates would lead them to mostly increase spending. Almost half said the rebate would mostly lead them to pay off debt, while about a third saying it would lead them mostly to save more, The survey responses imply that the aggregate propensity to spend from the rebate was about one-third, and that there would not be substantially more spending as a lagged effect of the rebates. Because of the low spending propensity, the rebates in 2008 provided low "bang for the buck" as economic stimulus. Putting cash into the hands of the consumers who use it to save or pay off debt boosts their well-being, but it does not necessarily make them spend. Low-income individuals were particularly likely to use the rebate to pay off debt.
机译:密歇根大学调查研究中心月度调查的骑车人中只有五分之一的人说,2008年的退税将使他们大部分增加支出。几乎一半的人表示,退税将主要导致他们偿还债务,而大约三分之一的人表示,这将导致他们主要储蓄更多。该调查表明,从退税中支出的总倾向约为三分之一,并且由于回扣的滞后效应,支出基本上不会增加​​。由于支出倾向低,2008年的返利为经济刺激提供了较低的“一掷千金”。将现金交给使用它来节省或偿还债务的消费者手中,可以提高他们的生活水平,但不一定会使他们花费。低收入个人特别有可能使用回扣偿还债务。

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