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Spatial and Temporal Evolution Characteristics of Drought in Yunnan Province from 1969 to 2018 Based on SPI/SPEI

机译:基于SPI / SPEI的云南省1969-2018年干旱时空演变特征

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The objective of this article is to describe the effect of precipitation and temperature on the drought characteristics of Yunnan province in China. The rainfall and temperature data from 10 national meteorological stations in Yunnan province during 1969 to 2018 were used to investigate the spatial and temporal evolution of drought in Yunnan province and the difference of drought index based on Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) at nearly 50a different time scales. The results showed that Yunnan province had a frequent alternation of drought and flood, and the larger the time scale, the gentler the SPI and SPEI changes. The recent 50a drought mainly occurred in 1980-1982, 1988-1990, 2003-2007, and 2010-2015, and there was continuous drought and the duration was prolonged. The changes of SPI and SPEI showed a downward trend in different seasons. The linear slopes of SPI and SPEI in spring, summer, autumn, and winter were - 0.0064, - 0.0088, - 0.0057 and - 0.0.0111, respectively, and the drought trend was the most serious in winter. Continuous spring drought occurred in 2009-2010 and 2012-2014. The SPEI values in 2009-2010 and 2012-2014 were - 0.80, - 0.64, - 0.75, - 1.23, and - 1.17, respectively. The spatial distribution of drought frequency in Yunnan province was greatly different, and its distribution rule was more in the north and east, less in the south and west. The drought frequency in Zhaotong (northeast Yunnan) was the highest at 36.53%, the drought frequency in Deqin and Lijiang (northwest Yunnan) were 33.11% and 33.28%, and the drought frequency in Kunming (central Yunnan) Lincang, Lancang, and Simao (southwest Yunnan) were 29.35%, 30.73%, 32.77%, and 28.35%, respectively. This study provided a scientific basis for revealing the spatial and temporal variation rules, evolution trends, regional drought, and drought impact assessment and risk management of drought in Yunnan province.
机译:本文的目的是描述降水和温度对中国云南省干旱特征的影响。利用1969年至2018年云南省10个国家气象台的降水和温度数据,研究了云南省干旱的时空演变和基于标准化降水指数(SPI)和标准化降水蒸散指数的干旱指数的差异。 (SPEI)在近50a的不同时标上。结果表明,云南省旱涝变化频繁,时间尺度越大,SPI和SPEI变化越温和。最近的50a干旱主要发生在1980-1982年,1988-1990年,2003-2007年和2010-2015年,持续干旱并且持续时间延长。 SPI和SPEI的变化在不同季节呈下降趋势。春季,夏季,秋季和冬季,SPI和SPEI的线性斜率分别为-0.0064,-0.0088,-0.0057和-0.0.0111,而冬季的干旱趋势最为严重。 2009-2010年和2012-2014年连续发生春季干旱。 2009-2010年和2012-2014年的SPEI值分别为-0.80,-0.64,-0.75,-1.23和-1.17。云南省干旱频率的空间分布差异很大,其分布规律在北部和东部较多,在南部和西部较少。昭通(滇东北)的干旱频率最高,为36.53%,德钦和丽江(滇西北)的干旱频率分别为33.11%和33.28%,昆明(云南中部)临沧,澜沧和思茅的干旱频率最高。 (云南西南)分别为29.35%,30.73%,32.77%和28.35%。该研究为揭示云南省的时空变化规律,演变趋势,区域干旱以及干旱影响评估和干旱风险管理提供了科学依据。

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