Catastrophe Avoidance Models for Hazardous Materials Route Planning

摘要

The most-widely used definition of risk in the hazardous materials transportation literature is the expected consequence of an incident (accident resulting in a release), which, for each edge of the network, is equal to the product of the incident probability and a quantifiable consequence (such as number of people evacuated). This definition ignores the risk-avere attitudes of many decision-makers when dealing with low probability/high consequence events.