【24h】

Brexit bites

机译:英国脱欧

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摘要

Readers looking for some encouraging news about the state of the transport sector are probably going to be disappointed. While 2016 was tough and 2017 was even more difficult, things continued to look bleak during 2018. There are a whole host of reasons for this situation - one of the most prominent being Brexit. Having initially suggested - in April 2018 - that the UK would grow at a rate of 1.6% throughout the year, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) downgraded this prediction a few months later, citing trade tensions and tariff issues as reasons for the revision. Predicted growth for 2019 was set at 1.5%, but this figure was very much dependent on the outcome of Brexit. In November, the IMF warned that a 'no-deal' Brexit could cost the UK 6% of GDP. After an up-and-down year for truck registrations in 2017, the market was not overly confident going into 2018. That trend has continued: figures released by the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT) in October showed that registrations for trucks in the '16-tonne and over' bracket were down 8% for the first eight months of the year (to 27,025). By November, new truck registrations had fallen for the fifth quarter in a row.
机译:寻找有关交通运输行业状况的令人鼓舞的消息的读者可能会感到失望。尽管2016年艰难,而2017年更加艰难,但在2018年期间,形势依然黯淡。这种情况有很多原因-最突出的原因之一是英国退欧。国际货币基金组织(IMF)最初建议-在2018年4月-英国全年将以1.6%的速度增长,但几个月后以贸易紧张和关税问题为修正理由将这一预测下调。 2019年的预计增长定为1.5%,但这个数字在很大程度上取决于英国退欧的结果。 11月,国际货币基金组织警告说,“无交易”脱欧可能使英国损失GDP的6%。在经历了2017年的卡车注册大起大落之后,进入2018年的市场并没有过分自信。这种趋势仍在继续:汽车制造商和贸易商协会(SMMT)在10月份发布的数据显示,在今年的前八个月,“ 16吨及以上”支架下降了8%(至27,025)。到11月,新卡车登记已连续第五个季度下降。

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  • 来源
    《The Transport Engineer》 |2019年第1期|20-24|共5页
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  • 入库时间 2022-08-18 04:00:39

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