Use of data on planned contributions and stated beliefs in the measurement of social preferences

摘要

In a series of one-shot linear public goods game, we ask subjects to report their contributions, their contribution plans for the next period, and their first-order beliefs about their present and future partner. We estimate subjects' preferences from plan data by a finite mixture approach and compare the results with those obtained from contribution data. Controlling for beliefs, which incorporate the information about the others' decisions, we are able to show that plans convey accurate information about subjects' preferences and, consequently, are good predictors of their future behavior.