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Use of data on planned contributions and stated beliefs in the measurement of social preferences

机译:使用计划贡献数据和陈述的信念来衡量社会偏好

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In a series of one-shot linear public goods game, we ask subjects to report their contributions, their contribution plans for the next period, and their ?rst-order beliefs about their present and future partner. We estimate subjects’ preferences from plans data by a ?nite mixture approach and compare the results with those obtained from contribution data. Our results indicate that preferences are heterogeneous, and that most subjects exhibit conditionally cooperative inclinations. Controlling for beliefs, which incorporate the information about the other’s decisions, we are able to show that plans convey accurate information about subjects’ preferences and, consequently, are good predictors of their future behavior.
机译:在一系列一次性的线性公益游戏中,我们要求受试者报告他们的贡献,他们对下一个时期的贡献计划以及他们对当前和未来合作伙伴的一阶信念。我们通过有限混合法从计划数据中估计受试者的偏好,并将结果与​​从贡献数据中获得的结果进行比较。我们的结果表明,偏好是异类的,并且大多数受试者表现出有条件的合作倾向。控制信念,其中包含有关其他人决策的信息,我们可以证明计划可以传达有关受试者偏好的准确信息,因此可以很好地预测其未来的行为。

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