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The Time for Abatement Alone Is Passing Us By — Should Humanity Consider Geoengineering?

机译:减排的时光已经过去了-人类是否应该考虑地球工程?

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Scientists have begun to hedge their bets and not count on society decarbonizing in time to avoid disruption to the Earth's climate system. Even if the dreams of the Paris Agreement are fully realized, the planet may become uncomfortably warm in the near term, bringing severe conditions. Consider current events. Houston has been hit with two 500-year rainstorms this decade alone. The American West has turned into a tinderbox, with water running out and wildfires devastating populated areas every summer. Miami along with a lot of the rest of southern Florida is slowly slipping into the sea. Russian cargo ships are sailing from Vladivostok to Europe by way of an ice-free Arctic Ocean. Enter a once-taboo topic shunned by greens and governments alike — geoengineering, a suite of technological remedies to solve the climate crisis or at least buy humanity more time to rid our energy and agricultural systems of greenhouse gas emissions. AT&T's Braden Allenby wrote about such intervention in these pages 18 years ago. In "Global Warning," he declared that international efforts at emissions abatement were doomed to failure and that "society should actively manage the entire carbon cycle, using a broad array of technologies and policies to achieve climate stabilization." What seemed like science fiction then has become today's unfortunate reality.
机译:科学家已经开始对冲自己的赌注,而不是指望社会及时脱碳以避免对地球气候系统的破坏。即使完全实现了《巴黎协定》的梦想,但地球可能在短期内变得令人不适地变暖,从而带来严峻的条件。考虑当前事件。仅在本十年间,休斯顿就遭受了两次500年的暴雨袭击。美国西部已经变成了一个火药箱,每年夏天,水都流失了,野火摧毁了人口稠密的地区。迈阿密以及佛罗里达州南部的许多其他地区正慢慢滑入大海。俄罗斯的货船从符拉迪沃斯托克经无冰的北冰洋航行至欧洲。输入一个曾经一度禁忌的话题,这个话题被绿党和政府都回避了-地球工程,一套解决气候危机的技术手段,或者至少让人类有更多时间摆脱能源和农业系统的温室气体排放。 18年前,AT&T的布雷登·艾伦比(Braden Allenby)在这些页面上写了有关这种干预的文章。他在《全球警告》中宣称,减少排放的国际努力注定要失败,并且“社会应使用广泛的技术和政策来积极管理整个碳循环,以实现气候稳定。”就像科幻小说一样,如今已成为当今的不幸现实。

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    《The environmental forum》 |2018年第6期|52-53|共2页
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