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Mission Impossible? Preventing Deadly Conflict in the African Great Lakes Region

机译:不可能完成的任务?预防非洲大湖区的致命冲突

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摘要

For each case when third-party force failed to achieve political aims (for example, Somalia), one can also point to instances where, arguably, if force had been used early in the conflict and in a decisive fashion, tragedy might have been prevented (Rwanda). This statement reflects a popular and widespread notion about the role that limited military force, frequently in the guise of an international rapid-reaction brigade, can play in forestalling or even preventing the outbreak of violence. Such notions are predicated on the conviction that the mere presence of a small number of foreign troops can have a chilling effect on current (or potential) combatants in many conflicts. Unfortunately, this belief often stems more from political imperatives and idealistic rationalizations of what ought to be possible than from a realistic net assessment of the operational realities troops face on the ground.
机译:对于第三方部队未能实现政治目标的每种情况(例如,索马里),也可以指出这样的情况:可以说,如果在冲突初期以果断的方式使用武力,就可以避免悲剧发生。 (卢旺达)。该声明反映了一种普遍而广泛的观念,即经常以国际快速反应大队为幌子的有限军事力量可以在阻止或什至防止暴力爆发方面发挥作用。这些想法是基于这样的信念,即在许多冲突中,仅仅存在少量外国部队就可能对当前(或潜在的)战斗人员产生令人畏惧的影响。不幸的是,这种信念往往更多地源于对当务之急的政治要求和理想化的合理化,而不是对部队在实地所面对的实际行动进行的现实的净评估。

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