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METEOROLOGY AND MEDIA

机译:气象与媒体

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Since life came into existence on earth, each and every species of living being have been struggling with the vagaries of nature and those species only survived which could adapt to the changing climate. Nature obeys its strict principle - survival of the fittest. So it is but natural for human being to study the science of nature as his various activities are influenced by it. And as necessity is the 'mother of invention', it discovered ways and means to combat the natural fury. The meteorological science is more or less understood by each and every human being but there are certain intricacies which are not appreciated by public in general. Media can play a vital role in educating the public by conveying correct information and for this the media correspondents should themselves understand the intricacies of nature - its unpredictability. It is to be kept in mind that the word 'Forecast' indicates it is a probability occurrence, it is not a certainty; but this probability assessment is based on scientific theories and observed data. There is always a certain amount of uncertainty in each forecast, may it be the population growth, economic growth, share market, result of an important match, election result or anything like that. Each considers a number of factors (variables) and trend which go on changing. Media can highlight this aspect so as to remove misconception from the minds of the mass and help to build confidence on forecasters.
机译:自地球上存在生命以来,每一个生物物种都在与自然的千差万别作斗争,只有那些能够适应气候变化的物种得以生存。大自然遵循其严格的原则-优胜劣汰。因此,人类研究自然科学是自然而然的,因为人类的各种活动都受到自然科学的影响。而且由于“发明之母”的必要性,它发现了对抗自然愤怒的方法和手段。气象科学被每个人或多或少地理解,但是有一些复杂性,一般公众并不认可。媒体可以通过传达正确的信息在教育公众方面发挥至关重要的作用,为此,媒体记者应该自己理解自然的复杂性-它的不可预测性。请记住,“预测”一词表示这是概率出现,不是确定性;但是这种概率评估是基于科学理论和观察到的数据。每个预测总是存在一定的不确定性,可能是人口增长,经济增长,股票市场,重要比赛的结果,选举结果或类似的结果。每个因素都考虑了不断变化的许多因素(变量)和趋势。媒体可以突出这一方面,以消除大众的误解,并有助于建立对预报员的信心。

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