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首页> 外文期刊>Russian Journal of Numerical Analysis and Mathematical Modelling >Stochastic modelling of age-structured population with time and size dependence of immigration rate
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Stochastic modelling of age-structured population with time and size dependence of immigration rate

机译:年龄结构化人口的随机建模与移民率的时间和大小相关

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摘要

A stochastic age-structured population model with immigration of individuals is considered. We assume that the lifespan of each individual is a random variable with a distribution function which may differ from the exponential one. The immigration rate of individuals depends on the time and total population size. Upper estimates for the mean and variance of the population size are established based on the theory of branching processes with constant immigration rate. A Monte Carlo simulation algorithm of population dynamics is developed. The results of numerical experiments with the model are presented.
机译:考虑带有个人移民的随机年龄结构的人口模型。我们假设每个人的寿命是一个随机变量,其分布函数可能不同于指数变量。个人的移民率取决于时间和人口总数。人口规模的均值和方差的较高估计是基于具有恒定移民率的分支过程的理论建立的。提出了种群动力学的蒙特卡罗模拟算法。给出了用该模型进行数值实验的结果。

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