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Volatility spillover effects in interbank money markets

机译:银行间货币市场的波动溢出效应

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Using daily data from 2006 to 2015, this paper applies alternative multivariate GARCH models and a modified version of the spillover index methodology proposed by Diebold and Yilmaz (Int J Forecast 28(1):57-66, 2012) to test the existence of shock and volatility contagion effects across interbank money markets. Overall, we find evidence that money markets are highly interrelated, exhibiting dynamic cross market effects. Moreover, we emphasize the pertinence of conditional covariances and we show that volatility spillovers are time-varying and very responsive to the major economic events, increasing in periods of higher turbulence, which reinforces the importance of closely monitoring the evolution of money markets.
机译:利用2006年至2015年的每日数据,本文应用了替代的多元GARCH模型和Diebold和Yilmaz提出的溢出指数方法的修正版本(Int J Forecast 28(1):57-66,2012)来测试冲击的存在和跨银行货币市场的波及性传染效应。总体而言,我们发现有证据表明货币市场高度相关,表现出动态的交叉市场效应。此外,我们强调了条件协方差的相关性,并且表明波动率溢出是随时间变化的,并且对主要经济事件反应非常快,在较高动荡时期会有所增加,这加强了密切监控货币市场演变的重要性。

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