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Financing climate policies through climate bonds - A three stage model and empirics

机译:通过气候债券为气候政策筹集资金-三个阶段的模型和经验

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摘要

AbstractThe funding of climate mitigation and adaptation policies has become an essential issue in climate negotiations. Emissions trading schemes (ETS) and carbon tax policies are widely discussed as viable mitigation strategies, the revenue from which might then be used for adaptation efforts. In most current models, the burden of enacting mitigation and adaptation policies falls on current generations. This paper expands on a recent article by that proposes intertemporal burden sharing, suggesting that implementation of climate policies would represent a Pareto improving strategy for both current and future generations. In particular, this paper proposes that green bonds (also referred to as climate bonds) represent an immediately implementable opportunity to initiate Sachs’ plan; the issuance of green bonds could fund immediate investment in climate mitigation such that the debt might be repaid by the future generations, those who benefit most from reduced environmental damages. The Sachs model is a discrete time overlapping generations model which we generalize and turn into a continuous time version exhibiting three major stages. We solve this three phase model by using a new numerical procedure called NMPC that allows for finite horizon solutions and phase changes. We show that the issued bonds can be repaid and the debt is sustainable within a finite time horizon. We also study econometrically whether the current macroeconomic environment is conducive to successfully phasing in such climate bonds.
机译: 摘要 缓解气候变化和适应政策的资金投入已经成为气候谈判中的重要问题。排放交易计划(ETS)和碳税政策已被广泛讨论为可行的缓解策略,其收入随后可用于适应工作。在大多数当前模型中,制定缓解和适应政策的负担落在了当代。本文在最近的一篇文章的基础上进行了扩展,该文章提出了跨时期的负担分担,这表明实施气候政策将代表帕累托改进今世后代的战略。特别是,本文提出,绿色债券(也称为气候债券)是启动萨克斯计划的可立即实施的机会。绿色债券的发行可以为缓解气候变化的直接投资提供资金,从而使子孙后代可以偿还债务,而受益于减少的环境损害的子孙后代则可以从中受益。萨克斯模型是一个离散的时间重叠世代模型,我们将其概括并转化为展现三个主要阶段的连续时间版本。我们通过使用称为NMPC的新数值程序来解决此三相模型,该程序允许有限的水平解和相位变化。我们表明,已发行的债券可以在有限的时间范围内偿还,债务是可持续的。我们还从计量角度研究了当前的宏观经济环境是否有利于成功地逐步建立这种气候债券。

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