Comparative study of various models in estimating hourly diffuse solar irradiance

摘要

This work presents a comparison among seventeen different proposals for estimating the hourly diffuse fraction of irradiance. Twelve of them are polynomial correlations of different orders, two are based on a logistic function and the three last ones consider the diffuse irradiance values in the previous and posterior hour to that of the calculation. In general, the proposals showing the more favourable statistics indexes are those that consider the process dynamics, as they behave better than the rest of the models even when the polynomial correlations and the logistic function are calibrated for the experimental data used in this work.rnThe models Dirint and BRL are the ones recommended for the data of this study, as they exhibit the highest precision and generate a series of hourly diffuse irradiance values of which the distribution functions are very similar to those of the experimental data.