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Influence of climatological data records on design of a standalone hybrid PV-hydroelectric power system

机译:气候数据记录对独立式混合光伏-水力发电系统设计的影响

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Climatological data records have a critical role in the design of renewable power systems. Various data sampling approaches were employed by literature. However, to the authors' knowledge, there is no work comparing them. This paper compares the results of four commonly used data records sampling scenarios (scenario 1:"15th July", scenario 2: "a single yearly-averaged day", scenario 3: "12 monthly-averaged days", and scenario 4: "full yearly data") for the multi-objective optimal design of a standalone hybrid PV-hydroelectric system by using NSGA-II. Investment cost and Loss of Power Supply Probability (LPSP) constitute the objective functions of the problem. The results will reveal that scenario 4 is the only scenario that fully satisfies the demanded power profile over the year, whereas scenarios 1 to 3 are not able to satisfy more than 95.3%, 72.3%, and 92.4% of the yearly demanded power profile, respectively. The currently employed optimization procedure, which combines NSGAII with a simple operational strategy, allows for the implementation of all the mentioned scenarios with tractable computation time (35-4150 min on an Intel (R) Core (TM) i7 4 GHz processor). This study can help designers to select a suitable data records through making a trade-off among data availability, computation time, and power supply probability. (C) 2019 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
机译:气候数据记录在可再生能源系统的设计中起着至关重要的作用。文献采用了各种数据采样方法。但是,据作者所知,尚无将它们进行比较的工作。本文比较了四种常用数据记录采样方案的结果(方案1:“ 7月15日”,方案2:“单个年平均天数”,方案3:“ 12个月平均天数” ,以及方案4:通过使用NSGA-II对独立的混合光伏-水力发电系统进行多目标优化设计的“完整年度数据”。投资成本和电源概率损失(LPSP)构成了问题的客观功能。结果表明,方案4是唯一能够完全满足一年内所需功率曲线的方案,而方案1至3不能满足年度需求功率曲线的95.3%,72.3%和92.4%以上,分别。当前采用的优化程序将NSGAII与简单的操作策略结合在一起,可实现所有上述方案,并具有可计算的计算时间(在Intel®CoreTM i7 4 GHz处理器上为35-4150分钟)。通过在数据可用性,计算时间和电源概率之间进行权衡,该研究可以帮助设计人员选择合适的数据记录。 (C)2019 Elsevier Ltd.保留所有权利。

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