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Assessing variables of regional reanalysis data sets relevant for modelling small-scale renewable energy systems

机译:评估与小型可再生能源系统建模相关的区域再分析数据集的变量

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摘要

Data that allow the characterization of short-term and inter-annual variability of renewable energy resources availability are becoming highly valuable for energy system modellers. Global reanalysis data provide long time series of records without gaps and full spatial coverage at no cost for the final user. However, these exhibit coarse spatial resolution. The COSMO-REA6 and COSMOS-REA2 regional reanalysis for Europe overcome this limitation by increasing the resolution of the reanalysis to six and two kilometres respectively. This work presents an assessment of solar radiation and wind speed variables of these data sets that were available to the public in January 2018. This assessment is performed using data of the Bavarian agro-meteorological network and the Czech Hydrometeorological Institute. Eight accuracy indicators for hourly data in the period 1995-2015 are calculated. Widely used indicators such as the Pearson's correlation coefficient in some cases reach values above 0.82 for wind speeds and above 0.92 for global horizontal irradiance. The mean bias error is consistently better than +/- 9.3 W/m(2) for the full set of irradiance data, +/- 25.1 W/m(2) for only day-time irradiance data and is, with a few exceptions, lower than +/- 1 m/s for the wind speed data. (C) 2018 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
机译:能够表征可再生能源资源可用性的短期和年际变化的数据,对于能源系统建模人员而言正变得非常有价值。全局重新分析数据为最终用户免费提供了长时间的记录序列,没有空白和完整的空间覆盖范围。但是,它们显示出粗糙的空间分辨率。欧洲的COSMO-REA6和COSMOS-REA2区域重新分析克服了这一限制,将重新分析的分辨率分别提高到了6公里和2公里。这项工作提供了对这些数据集的太阳辐射和风速变量的评估,该评估结果于2018年1月向公众提供。该评估是使用巴伐利亚农业气象网络和捷克水文气象研究所的数据进行的。计算了1995-2015年期间每小时数据的八个准确性指标。广泛使用的指标,例如在某些情况下的皮尔逊相关系数,对于风速达到0.82以上,对于整体水平辐照度达到0.92以上。对于整套辐照度数据,平均偏差误差始终优于+/- 9.3 W / m(2),仅对于日间辐照度数据,平均偏差误差始终优于+/- 25.1 W / m(2),并且有少数例外,低于风速数据的+/- 1 m / s。 (C)2018作者。由Elsevier Ltd.发布。这是CC BY许可下的开放访问文章(http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/)。

著录项

  • 来源
    《Renewable energy》 |2019年第4期|1468-1478|共11页
  • 作者单位

    Tech Hsch Deggendorf, Inst Appl Informat, Technol Campus Freyung, Freyung, Germany|Univ Nat Resources & Life Sci, Inst Spatial Planning Environm Planning & Land Re, Vienna, Austria;

    Tech Hsch Deggendorf, Inst Appl Informat, Technol Campus Freyung, Freyung, Germany|Univ Nat Resources & Life Sci, Inst Sustainable Econ Dev, Vienna, Austria;

    Tech Hsch Deggendorf, Inst Appl Informat, Technol Campus Freyung, Freyung, Germany|Univ Nat Resources & Life Sci, Inst Sustainable Econ Dev, Vienna, Austria;

  • 收录信息 美国《科学引文索引》(SCI);美国《工程索引》(EI);
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

    Renewable energy; Regional reanalysis; COSMO-REA; Solar radiation; Wind speed;

    机译:可再生能源;区域再分析;COSMO-REA;太阳辐射;风速;

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