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Root-Causal Factors: Uncovering the Hows & Whys of Incidents

机译:根本原因:揭示事件的方式和原因

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When investigating incidents, safety professionals must consider the amount of time available and organizational limits. If the investigation process recognizes deficiencies in management systems, the place at which investigators stop may be at the realistic organizational boundary. Consider the internally prepared report on the Deepwater Horizon explosion (BP, 2010). The executive summary contains the following terms: "the causal chain of events"; "possible contributing factors"; and "caused this accident." Here's an excerpt from the executive summary. The team did not identify any single action or inaction that caused this accident. Rather, a complex and interlinked series of mechanical failures, human judgments, engineering design, operational implementation and team interfaces came together to allow the initiation and escalation of the accident. Multiple companies, work teams and circumstances were involved over time. (p. 11) The second sentence in the excerpt contains five subjects indicating management system deficiencies. If an investigation system requires in-depth inquiry to include identification of causal factors such as mechanical failures, human judgment, engineering design, operational implementation and team interfaces, the system stops at a high management level and causal/contributing factors are found, not created. Some may suggest that investigations should continue further to determine how each management system deficiency came to be. While that would be nice to do, investigators could say that getting as far into management system deficiencies as the BP team did may be as far as internally employed investigators can practicably go due to cultural and organizational limitations. The BP report would receive a superior rating in relation to the quality of causal factors identified compared to the more than 1,800 investigation reports the author has reviewed. If an investigation process determines how and why an incident occurs and identifies the deficiencies in management systems, the contributing factors (the root-causal factors if one elects to so name them) are identified. Improving incident investigation quality is much more important than the terminology an organiza- tion adopts. The ultimate goal is to achieve superior investigations. If an incident's why and how are cited in investigation reports, the investigators will have determined the root-causal factors and arrived at an appropriate stopping point. If the system in place reveals multiple causal/contributing factors and it works, what the factors are called is of less significance. Safety professionals cannot let semantics get in the way of accomplishment. If what an organization has in place is effective, it is best to stick with it. Although incident investigations may not achieve absolute certainty in determining root-causal factors, having recognized that uncertainty, safety professionals can give advice that can be practicably applied with respect to root-causal factors and the management system improvements required.
机译:在调查事件时,安全专业人员必须考虑可用的时间量和组织限制。如果调查过程认识到管理系统中的缺陷,则调查人员停下来的位置可能在现实的组织边界处。考虑内部准备的《深水地平线》爆炸报告(BP,2010年)。执行摘要包含以下术语:“事件的因果链”; “可能的因素”;并造成了这次事故。这是执行摘要的节选。团队没有发现导致此事故的任何单一或不作为。相反,一系列复杂且相互联系的机械故障,人为判断,工程设计,运营实施和团队接口共同作用,使事故的发生和升级成为可能。随着时间的推移,涉及多个公司,工作团队和情况。 (第11页)摘录中的第二个句子包含五个主题,表明管理系统存在缺陷。如果调查系统需要深入查询以包括因果因素的识别,例如机械故障,人为判断,工程设计,运营实施和团队接口,则该系统会在较高的管理级别停止,并且会发现因果关系因素。有些人可能建议调查应该继续进行,以确定每种管理系统缺陷是如何产生的。尽管这样做很不错,但调查人员可能会说,由于文化和组织的局限性,与BP团队一样深入管理系统缺陷的范围可能与内部雇用的调查人员在实际可行的范围内一样。与作者审查的1,800多个调查报告相比,BP报告在确定的因果关系质量方面将获得更高的评级。如果调查过程确定了事件的发生方式和原因,并确定了管理系统中的缺陷,则可以找出影响因素(如果选择了根源,则可以确定原因)。改进事件调查质量比组织采用的术语重要得多。最终目标是实现卓越的调查。如果事件在调查报告中提及了原因和方式,那么调查人员将确定根本原因,并到达适当的停止点。如果现有系统揭示了多个因果/贡献因素,并且它起作用了,那么所谓的因素意义就不那么重要了。安全专业人员不能让语义妨碍完成工作。如果一个组织有效,那么最好坚持下去。尽管事故调查可能无法在确定根本原因的因素上获得绝对的确定性,但认识到不确定性后,安全专业人员可以针对根本原因和所需的管理体系改进提供切实可行的建议。

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