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Geoelectric potential changes: Possible precursors to earthquakes in Japan

机译:地电势变化:日本地震的可能先兆

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Whether electromagnetic precursors to earthquakes (EQs) exist is an important question not only for EQ prediction but also for understanding the physical processes of EQ generation. Slow transient geoelectric potential changes have been observed before several recent EQs in Japan. In most cases. they appeared 1--19 days before the EQs. and their duration and intensity were several minutes to 1 h and 1--2 mV/100 m. The changes appeared before five of all six EQs with magnitude ≥ 5 that occurred within 20 km of our stations during the observation period. Changes were also detected at greater epicentral distances (up to 75 km) before two other EQs, including one EQ of magnitude 4.7, which was preceded by a signal simultaneously recorded at three widely separated stations. These geoelectric potential changes have been distin- guished through the following criteria from a multitude of other changes, which were noise of various origins. (Ⅰ) The selected changes were proportional in amplitude to the length of the recording station's short (≈100 m) dipoles and were simulta- neously detected also on long (1-10 km) dipoles when the latter were in operation. (Ⅱ) No such changes occurred during the observation period that were not followed by EQs. Although the EQ precursory nature of these geoelectric potential changes is admittedly unproven, it seems that the present results warrant (continued serious research into the occurrence, generation, and transmission of these signals and their possible causal relationship to EQs.
机译:是否存在地震电磁先兆(EQs),这不仅是EQ预测的重要问题,也是理解EQ产生物理过程的重要问题。在日本最近出现几个均衡器之前,已经观察到缓慢的瞬态地电势变化。在多数情况下。它们出现在情商之前的1--19天。其持续时间和强度为几分钟至1 h和1--2 mV / 100 m。在观测期间,变化发生在六个≥5的情商中,其中五个≥5发生在距我们站点20 km的范围内。在另外两个均衡器(包括一个4.7级的均衡器)之前,在更大的震中距离(最远75公里)处也检测到变化,在此之前,在三个相距甚远的电台同时记录了一个信号。这些地电势变化已通过以下标准与众多其他变化(不同来源的噪声)区分开来。 (Ⅰ)选择的变化幅度与记录站短(≈100m)偶极子的长度成正比,并且在长(1-10 km)长偶极子运行时同时被检测到。 (二)观察期未发生情商未跟随的变化。尽管这些地电势变化的情商先兆性质尚未得到证实,但似乎目前的结果值得肯定(继续认真研究这些信号的发生,产生和传输以及它们与情商的因果关系。

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