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What happened to the East German housing market? A historical perspective on the role of public funding

机译:东德房屋市场发生了什么?关于公共资金作用的历史观点

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This article analyses the development of the East German housing market after reunification of the former German Democratic Republic and the Federal Republic of Germany in 1990. We analyse the dynamics of the East German housing market within the framework of the well known stock-flow model, proposed by DiPasquale and Wheaton. We show that the disequilibrium observable today is to a large extent caused by post-reunification housing policy and its strong fiscal incentives to invest in the housing stock. Moreover, in line with the stylised empirical facts we show that ‘hidden reserves’ of the housing market were reactivated since the economy of East Germany became market-organised. Since initial undersupply was overcome faster than politicians expected, the fiscal stimuli implemented were too strong. In contrast to the widespread opinion that outward migration caused the observable vacancies, this study shows that not weakness of demand but supply side policies caused the observable disequilibrium.View full textDownload full textRelated var addthis_config = { ui_cobrand: "Taylor & Francis Online", services_compact: "citeulike,netvibes,twitter,technorati,delicious,linkedin,facebook,stumbleupon,digg,google,more", pubid: "ra-4dff56cd6bb1830b" }; Add to shortlist Link Permalink http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/14631377.2010.498686
机译:本文分析了1990年前德意志民主共和国和德意志联邦共和国统一后东德住房市场的发展情况。我们在著名的股票流模型的框架内分析了东德住房市场的动态,由DiPasquale和Wheaton提出。我们表明,今天可观察到的不均衡现象在很大程度上是由统一后的住房政策及其强大的财政动机来投资于住房存量造成的。此外,根据程式化的经验事实,我们表明,自东德经济开始市场化以来,住房市场的“隐藏储备”得以重新激活。由于最初的供不应求得到克服的速度超出了政客的预期,因此实施的财政刺激措施过于强大。与普遍认为外迁导致可观察到的职位空缺相反,本研究表明不是需求疲软而是供应方政策引起了可观察到的不平衡。查看全文下载全文相关的var addthis_config = {ui_cobrand:“泰勒和弗朗西斯在线”,services_compact ::“ citeulike,netvibes,twitter,technorati,美味,linkedin,facebook,stumbleupon,digg,google,更多”,pubid:“ ra-4dff56cd6bb1830b”};添加到候选列表链接永久链接http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/14631377.2010.498686

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