I realized," wrote a french aristocrat in her memoirs concerning the unpleasantness of the 1790s, "that the Revolution was inevitable when I noticed that the patissier was putting less butter in the brioches." The gift of discerning large portents in small things is useful in politics. Mark Bernstein demonstrates that with his meticulous analysis of some data that should deepen the depression many Democrats are feeling. And the data might convince today's hyperki-netic Republicans that they have more than just another 18 months to bring the Republic to perfection. Bernstein is a Philadelphia lawyer, but quite pleasant, and remarkably nimble with numbers. He has sifted the voting results from the 1994 House races and has come to the conclusion that the Democrats' prospects for soon recapturing the House are bleak.
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