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The weather profits

机译:天气利润

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It May surprise you to learn that people are making money out of your weather. When the temperature soars, so does their bank balance-if they've invested wisely. While you were cursing the unseasonal frost that killed off your spring vegetables, they had just earned the deposit on a new BMW. Of course, some of them take a big hit once in a while: a freak storm that whips the roof off your house can also wipe out a significant chunk of their profits. But that's the risk you take when you are a weather trader. You have probably heard of trading on oil, bonds and coffee. You may not be aware that the weather has recently joined these commodities in the marketplace. If you invest in rainy days (and get your forecasts right), you can make them pay your bills. Meteorologists of the world, rejoice. If this all sounds like a new way to make money out of nothing, just wait till you hear who kicked it off: a Texas-based power-generating company called Enron. In the summer of 1996, Florida Power & Light, who buy energy from generators and then sell it on to homes, wanted to guarantee its profits for the season. They knew they could buy a set number of megawatts at a set price from the generator, but who knew how many watts they'd be able to sell? If the summer was too cold for people to run their air conditioners they'd have power left over that would dribble away unsold. And if it was too hot they would have to buy extra power at exorbitant prices on the open market. So Enron sold them a power contract, guaranteeing a reasonable pre-set price per megawatt for the amount of power they'd need on any given day whatever the temperature. Florida Power & Light got the security of a fixed price, and Enron got a tiny bit more for their power on an average day than they would without the contract.
机译:得知人们正在利用天气赚钱可能会让您感到惊讶。当温度飙升时,如果他们进行了明智的投资,他们的银行存款余额也会上升。当您诅咒杀死春季蔬菜的非季节性霜冻时,他们刚刚从一辆新宝马汽车上获得了押金。当然,其中一些人有时会遭受重大打击:一场狂暴的风暴将房屋的屋顶掀起,这也可能会抹去他们的大部分利润。但这就是当您是气象交易员时承担的风险。您可能听说过石油,债券和咖啡的交易。您可能不知道天气最近已经在市场上加入了这些商品。如果您在雨天进行投资(并获得正确的预测),则可以让他们支付账单。世界各地的气象学家都为之欢欣鼓舞。如果这一切听起来像是一种从无到有赚钱的新方法,请等到听到有人开始赚钱时,这就是一家位于德克萨斯州的发电公司,名为Enron。 1996年夏天,从发电商那里购买能源然后将其出售给房屋的佛罗里达电力与照明公司(Florida Power&Light)希望保证其当季的利润。他们知道他们可以以固定的价格从发电机购买一定数量的兆瓦,但是谁知道他们能够卖出多少瓦呢?如果夏天太冷,人们无法使用空调,他们剩下的电力就会运走而无法售出。如果天气太热,他们将不得不在公开市场上以高昂的价格购买额外的电力。因此,安然(Enron)向他们出售了一份电力合同,以保证合理的每兆瓦预设价格,可以满足他们在任意温度下每天所需的电量。佛罗里达电力公司获得了固定价格的担保,而安然公司平均每天的电力要比没有合同时多得多。

著录项

  • 来源
    《New scientist》 |2003年第2407期|p.42-45|共4页
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  • 作者单位
  • 收录信息 美国《科学引文索引》(SCI);美国《化学文摘》(CA);
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 自然科学总论;
  • 关键词

  • 入库时间 2022-08-18 02:57:06

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