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Sixteen years ago, Steven Davis and John Haltiwanger's paper for the NBER Macroeconomics Annual was among the first to use firm-level data to study employment fluctuations. The focus of the current paper, written with Ron Jarmin and Javier Miranda, is on a different piece of the employment picture. The authors argue that during the past two decades, employment levels at individual firms and establishments have become more stable. Their preferred measure of firm volatility for the U.S. private sector, displayed in figure 2.6, declines by about one-quarter from 1978 to 2001.1 am confident that like Davis and Halti-wanger (1990), this thoughtful paper will influence both empirical and theoretical work long after its publication.
机译:十六年前,史蒂文·戴维斯(Steven Davis)和约翰·哈尔蒂旺格(John Haltiwanger)在NBER宏观经济年鉴上发表的论文是最早使用公司级数据研究就业波动的论文之一。由Ron Jarmin和Javier Miranda撰写的当前论文的重点是就业情况的另一部分。作者认为,在过去的二十年中,各个公司和机构的就业水平变得更加稳定。如图2.6所示,他们首选的衡量美国私营企业波动性的方法从1978年下降了约四分之一到2001.1,这有信心像戴维斯和哈尔蒂-旺格(1990)一样,这篇有思想的论文将影响经验和理论工作出版很久以后。

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