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The use of bias correction versus the Jackknife when testing the mean reversion and long term mean parameters in continuous time models

机译:在连续时间模型中测试均值回归和长期均值参数时,使用偏斜校正与折刀比较

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摘要

In this paper we extend the results in [5] in two directions: First, we show that by bias correcting the estimated mean reversion parameter we can also have better finite sample properties of the testing procedure using a t-statistic in the near unit root situation when the mean reversion parameter is approaching its lower bound versus using the Jackknife estimator of Phillips and Yu [8]. Second, we show that although Tang and Chen [10] demonstrate that the variance of the maximum likelihood estimator of the long term mean parameter is of an order equal to the reciprocal of the sample size (the same order as that of the bias and variance of the mean reversion parameter estimator and so it does not converge very fast to its true value), the t-statistic related to that parameter does not exhibit large empirical size distortions and so does not need to be bias corrected in practice.
机译:在本文中,我们在两个方向上将结果扩展到[5]:首先,我们证明了通过偏差校正估计的均值回归参数,我们还可以在近单位根中使用t统计量来获得测试过程的更好的有限样本属性。与使用Phillips和Yu的Jackknife估计量相比,平均回归参数接近其下限的情况[8]。其次,我们表明,尽管Tang和Chen [10]证明,长期均值参数的最大似然估计的方差等于样本量的倒数(与偏差和方差的阶数相同)因此,与该参数相关的t统计量不会表现出较大的经验尺寸失真,因此在实践中无需进行偏差校正。

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