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Sociosystemics, statistics, decisions

机译:社会系统学,统计数据,决策

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The current condition of knowledge about social world as reflected in political sciences, economics, management sciences, sociology, psychology, and their many derivatives is in deep disarray. It can be observed in the poor representation of the obtained results of scientific findings in practical issues as well as in the internal problems and inconsistencies within the respective branches of science. The exponentially growing volume of information in these areas is supplemented with less than linear growth of real knowledge, and even this one cannot be considered "hard knowledge" for many reasons. This phenomenon is not new, but the alarming gap between two flows of symbolic realm on the one hand, and between these flows as a whole and real practices on the other hand, is growing faster with every year. Further scientific specialization seems just to widen this gap. A need for some unifying principles overcoming narrow boundaries of particular sciences and even their composites (like behavioral economics or social psychology) becomes more and more clear. The attempts to solve universal problems using such grand concepts as general theory of systems, cybernetics, sociophysics, statistics have yielded many brilliant results, but haven't proven to become the sought-after unifying frame in many aspects. One of the reasons for that was their orientation to specific types of models, which, applied to social reality, do not work as expected. In this article, I'll try to introduce some principles of a new science, sociosystemics, which will hopefully help to transform over the cross a time the enormous volume of social information into meaningful knowledge to be used for analysis, prediction, finding innovative solutions, and decision making.
机译:政治科学,经济学,管理科学,社会学,心理学及其许多派生形式所反映的关于社会世界的当前知识状况,处于严重混乱之中。可以从实际问题中科学发现获得的结果的代表性不佳,以及各个科学领域内的内部问题和矛盾之处中观察到这一点。在这些领域中,指数级增长的信息量补充了真实知识的线性增长,甚至不足,甚至出于许多原因也不能将这一知识视为“硬知识”。这种现象并不是什么新鲜事物,但是,一方面,象征性领域的两个流之间,以及总体上与现实实践之间的令人震惊的差距,每年都在以更快的速度增长。进一步的科学专业化似乎只是在拉大这一差距。对克服某些特定科学甚至它们的综合材料(例如行为经济学或社会心理学)的狭窄界限的一些统一原则的需求变得越来越明确。使用诸如系统的一般理论,控制论,社会物理学,统计学之类的宏伟概念来解决普遍问题的尝试已产生了许多辉煌的成果,但尚未在许多方面被证明是广受欢迎的统一框架。原因之一是它们针对特定类型的模型的定位,这些模型应用于社会现实,无法按预期工作。在本文中,我将尝试介绍社会科学新科学的一些原理,这些原理有望在一段时间内将大量的社会信息转化为有意义的知识,以用于分析,预测和寻找创新的解决方案和决策。

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