Red Tide Frequency Analysis Using the Extreme Value Theory

摘要

In recent years, the red tide erupted frequently, and caused a great economic loss. At present, most literatures emphasize the academic research on the growth mechanism of red tide alga. In order to find out the characters of red tide in detail and improve the precision of forecast, this paper gives some new approaches to dealing with the red tide. By the extreme values, we deal with the red tide frequency analysis and get the estimation of T-times red tide level U_((T)), which is the level once the consistence of red tide alga exceeds on the average in a period of T times.