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Science in the Making: Right Hand, Left Hand. III: Estimating historical rates of left-handedness

机译:制作中的科学:右手,左手。 III:估计惯用左手的比率

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The BBC television programme Right Hand, Left Hand, broadcast in August 1953, used a postal questionnaire to ask viewers about their handedness. Respondents were born between 1864 and 1948, and in principle therefore the study provides information on rates of left-handedness in those born in the nineteenth century, a group for which few data are otherwise available. A total of 6,549 responses were received, with an overall rate of left-handedness of 15.2%, which is substantially above that expected for a cohort born in the nineteenth and early twentieth centuries. Left-handers are likely to respond preferentially to surveys about handedness, and the extent of over-response can be estimated in modern control data obtained from a handedness website, from the 1953 BBC data, and from Crichton-Browne's 1907 survey, in which there was also a response bias. Response bias appears to have been growing, being relatively greater in the most modern studies. In the 1953 data there is also evidence that left-handers were more common among later rather than early responders, suggesting that left-handers may have been specifically recruited into the study, perhaps by other left-handers who had responded earlier. In the present study the estimated rate of bias was used to correct the nineteenth-century BBC data, which was then combined with other available data as a mixture of two constrained Weibull functions, to obtain an overall estimate of handedness rates in the nineteenth century. The best estimates are that left-handedness was at its nadir of about 3% for those born between about 1880 and 1900. Extrapolating backwards, the rate of left-handedness in the eighteenth century was probably about 10%, with the decline beginning in about 1780, and reaching around 7% in about 1830, although inevitably there are many uncertainties in those estimates. What does seem indisputable is that rates of left-handedness fell during most of the nineteenth century, only subsequently to rise in the twentieth century.View full textDownload full textKeywordsHandedness, Rate, Historical, Nineteenth century, Response biasRelated var addthis_config = { ui_cobrand: "Taylor & Francis Online", services_compact: "citeulike,netvibes,twitter,technorati,delicious,linkedin,facebook,stumbleupon,digg,google,more", pubid: "ra-4dff56cd6bb1830b" }; Add to shortlist Link Permalink http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/13576500802565313
机译:1953年8月,英国广播公司(BBC)的电视节目“右手左手”使用邮政调查表向观众询问他们的惯性。受访者出生于1864年至1948年之间,因此从原则上讲,该研究提供了有关19世纪出生的人惯用左撇子率的信息,而该群体很少有其他可用的数据。总共收到了6,549份回复,左撇子的总体比率为15.2%,大大高于19世纪和20世纪初出生的同类人群的预期。惯用左撇子的人可能会对有关惯用性的调查做出优先反应,并且过度反应的程度可以从惯用性网站,1953年BBC数据以及Crichton-Browne的1907年调查中获得的现代控制数据中进行估算。也是回应偏见。反应偏见似乎一直在增加,在大多数现代研究中相对更大。在1953年的数据中,也有证据表明,惯用左撇子的人在较晚的应答者中更常见,而不是早期的应答者,这表明左撇子可能是专门招募到这项研究中的人,也许是其他较早做出应答的左撇子。在本研究中,估计的偏倚率用于校正19世纪的BBC数据,然后将其与其他可用数据结合在一起,作为两个受约束的威布尔函数的混合物,以获取19世纪对惯用率的整体估计。最好的估计是,大约在1880年至1900年之间出生的人惯用左撇子的天数约为最低点3%。从往后推算,十八世纪惯用左手的比率大概是10%,而下降的趋势始于大约1780年,并在1830年左右达到7%左右,尽管这些估计不可避免地存在许多不确定性。似乎无可争辩的是,惯用右手率在整个19世纪大部分时间都在下降,直到20世纪才有所上升。查看全文下载全文关键词惯用率,比率,历史,19世纪,响应偏差相关的var addthis_config = {ui_cobrand:“泰勒和弗朗西斯在线”,services_compact:“ citeulike,netvibes,twitter,technorati,delicious,linkedin,facebook,stumbleupon,digg,google,更多”,发布号:“ ra-4dff56cd6bb1830b”};添加到候选列表链接永久链接http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/13576500802565313

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