Fitting the exponential autoregressive model through recursive search

摘要

This paper focuses on the recursive parameter estimation methods for the exponential autoregressive (ExpAR) model. Applying the negative gradient search and introducing a forgetting factor, a stochastic gradient and a forgetting factor stochastic gradient algorithms are presented. In order to improve the parameter estimation accuracy and the convergence rate, the multi-innovation identification theory is employed to derive a forgetting factor multi-innovation stochastic gradient algorithm. A simulation example is provided to test the effectiveness of the proposed algorithms. (C) 2019 The Franklin Institute. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.