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An Optimal Product Mix for Hedging Longevity Risk in Life Insurance Companies: The Immunization Theory Approach

机译:对冲寿险公司寿命风险的最佳产品组合:免疫理论方法

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This article investigates the natural hedging strategy to deal with longevity risks for life insurance companies. We propose an immunization model that incorporates a stochastic mortality dynamic to calculate the optimal life insurance-annuity product mix ratio to hedge against longevity risks. We model the dynamic of the changes in future mortality using the well-known Lee-Carter model and discuss the model risk issue by comparing the results between the Lee-Carter and Cairns-Blake-Dowd models. On the basis of the mortality experience and insurance products in the United States, we demonstrate that the proposed model can lead to an optimal product mix and effectively reduce longevity risks for life insurance companies.
机译:本文研究了自然对冲策略来应对寿险公司的寿命风险。我们提出了一种免疫模型,该模型结合了随机死亡率动态来计算最佳人寿保险-年金产品组合比率,以对冲长寿风险。我们使用著名的Lee-Carter模型来模拟未来死亡率变化的动态,并通过比较Lee-Carter和Cairns-Blake-Dowd模型之间的结果来讨论模型风险问题。根据美国的死亡率经验和保险产品,我们证明了该模型可以带来最佳的产品组合,并有效降低人寿保险公司的寿命风险。

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