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Meta-analysis and benefit transfer for resource valuation-addressing classical challenges with Bayesian modeling

机译:用于资源评估的元分析和收益转移-使用贝叶斯建模解决经典挑战

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摘要

The use of meta-regression models based on existing studies to estimate the value of resources at a new policy site has become a popular alternative to collecting original data in recent years. There are two prevalent dilemmas associated with classical meta-regression models: The difference in the available set of regressors across source studies and the treatment of methodological explanatory variables in the construction of benefit transfer functions. In this study we illustrate how these issues can be addressed efficiently within a Bayesian meta-regression framework. We find that the Bayesian model, in contrast to its classical counterpart, can estimate a relatively large set of parameters, including indicators of unobserved study heterogeneity, with reasonable accuracy even when the underlying meta-sample is small. The incorporation of information from regressor-deficient source data in the specification of Bayesian priors leads to a better model fit and tighter welfare estimates for Benefit Transfer in our application of freshwater angling.
机译:近年来,基于现有研究的元回归模型来估计新政策站点的资源价值已成为一种流行的替代原始数据的替代方法。经典的元回归模型存在两个普遍的困境:跨源研究的可用回归变量集之间的差异,以及在利益转移函数构建中方法解释变量的处理。在这项研究中,我们说明了如何在贝叶斯元回归框架内有效解决这些问题。我们发现,与经典的贝叶斯模型相比,贝叶斯模型可以估计相对较大的一组参数,包括未观察到的研究异质性指标,即使基础元样本很小,也可以以合理的准确性进行估计。在贝叶斯先验规范中纳入来自缺乏回归系数的源数据的信息,可以在我们的淡水钓鱼应用中实现更好的模型拟合和更严格的福利转移估算。

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