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A typology of propagation of technology and social preferences in the process of economic development: An input-output approach

机译:经济发展过程中技术和社会偏好的传播类型:一种投入产出方法

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Purpose - The purpose of this paper is to look at the interplay of technology and social preferences in different stages of economic development. Design/methodology/approach - The authors use a set of input-output tables for 32 different countries, published by OECD. The tables refer to the period 1996-2001 and were consolidated in 48 sectors so that structural comparisons were possible through the use of techniques of decomposition used for comparing different economic structures in the context of partitioned input-output systems. Findings - The authors confirm that, for different levels of per capita GDP, technological change is an important element to drive growth. However, as an economy evolves, the data set also confirm that the composition of final demand, which reveals social preferences in a static way, moves away from agricultural and manufacturing to services activities. Such structural changes favor sectors with stronger value added multipliers, and stronger complexity found in higher income countries generates a force that helps driving income divergence. Research limitations/implications - Given the chosen methodological approach, the structural features revealed in this study remain to be empirically tested in growth models. Practical implications - The paper includes implications for the testing of growth models, suggesting there may be an association between movement into service sectors and higher growth, as modern service sectors have important spillovers on and from the manufacturing. Moreover, the way countries engage in global value changes may affect growth. Originality/value - Using a unique data set, this paper adds to the empirical literature on economic growth that looks closer at the distinction between the role of structural change and changes in composition ode demand.
机译:目的-本文的目的是研究技术和社会偏好在经济发展的不同阶段之间的相互作用。设计/方法/方法-作者使用OECD发布的一组针对32个不同国家的投入产出表。这些表涉及1996-2001年期间,并被合并为48个部门,因此可以通过使用分解技术来比较结构,从而在投入产出系统分区的情况下比较不同的经济结构。研究结果-作者证实,对于人均GDP的不同水平,技术变革是推动增长的重要因素。但是,随着经济的发展,数据集也证实了最终需求的构成(从静态上揭示了社会偏好)从农业和制造业转移到了服务活动。这种结构性变化有利于增加增值乘数的部门,而在高收入国家中发现的复杂性则增强了有助于推动收入差异的力量。研究的局限性/意义-鉴于选择的方法论方法,本研究中揭示的结构特征尚需在增长模型中进行实证检验。实际的意义-本文包括对增长模型的检验的意义,表明随着现代服务业在制造业方面的重要溢出,进入服务业和更高的增长之间可能存在关联。此外,各国参与全球价值变化的方式可能会影响增长。独创性/价值-本文使用独特的数据集,为有关经济增长的经验文献添加了更多内容,这些文献更关注结构变化的作用与成分需求变化之间的区别。

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