Hybrid Models of Neural Networks and Genetic Algorithms for Predicting Preliminary Cost Estimates

摘要

This technical note applies hybrid models of neural networks (NN) and genetic algorithms (GA) to cost estimation of residential buildings to predict preliminary cost estimates. Data used in the study are for residential buildings constructed from 1997 to 2000 in Seoul, Korea. These are used in training each model and evaluating its performance. The models applied were Model Ⅰ, which determines each parameter of a back-propagation network by a trial-and-error process; Model Ⅱ, which determines each parameter of a back-propagation network by GAs; and Model Ⅲ, which trains weights of NNs using genetic algorithms. The research revealed that optimizing each parameter of back-propagation networks using GAs is most effective in estimating the preliminary costs of residential buildings. Therefore, GAs may help estimators overcome the problem of the lack of adequate rules for determining the parameters of NNs.