Estimation of Conditional Ranks and Tests of Exogeneity in Nonparametric Nonseparable Models

摘要

Consider a nonparametric nonseparable regression model Y = phi(Z, U), where phi(Z, U) is strictly increasing in U and U approximate to U[0, 1]. We suppose that there exists an instrument W that is independent of U. The observable random variables are Y, Z, and W, all one-dimensional. We construct test statistics for the hypothesis that Z is exogenous, that is, that U is independent of Z. The test statistics are based on the observation that Z is exogenous if and only if V = F-Y|Z(Y|Z) is independent of W, and hence they do not require the estimation of the function phi. The asymptotic properties of the proposed tests are proved, and a bootstrap approximation of the critical values of the tests is shown to be consistent and to work for finite samples via simulations. An empirical example using the U.K. Family Expenditure Survey is also given. As a byproduct of our results we obtain the asymptotic properties of a kernel estimator of the distribution of V, which equals U when Z is exogenous. We show that this estimator converges to the uniform distribution at faster rate than the parametric n(- 1/2)-rate.