A Software Reliability Growth Model Addressing Learning

摘要

Goel proposed generalization of the Goel-Okumoto (G-O) software reliability growth model (SRGM), in order to model the failure intensity function, i.e. the rate of occurrence of failures (ROCOF) that initially increases and then decreases (I/D), which occurs in many projects due to the learning phenomenon of the testing team and a few other causes. The ROCOF of the generalized non-homogenous poisson process (NHPP) model can be expressed in the same mathematical form as that of a two-parameter Weibull function. However, this SRGM is susceptible to wide fluctuations in time between failures and sometimes it seems unable to recognize the I/D pattern of ROCOF present in the datasets and hence does not adequately describe such data. The authors therefore propose a shifted Weibull function ROCOF instead for the generalized NHPP model. This modification to the Goel-generalized NHPP model results in an SRGM that seems to perform better consistently, as confirmed by the goodness of fit statistic and predictive validity metrics, when applied to failure datasets of 11 software projects with widely varying characteristics. A case study on software release time determination using the proposed SRGM is also given.