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Spillover Effects among European, the US and Moroccan Stock Markets before and after the Global Financial Crisis

机译:全球金融危机前后欧洲,美国和摩洛哥股票市场的溢出效应

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摘要

This paper assesses return and volatility spillovers among stock markets in Morocco, the US, UK, France and Germany represented respectively by MASI, S&P 500, FTSE 100, CAC 40 and DAX 30 indices, both before and after the global financial crisis (GFC) of 2008. The daily frequency data cover the period from January 2nd, 2002 to June 30th, 2016. Using the Diebold and Yilmaz approach, the results show varying financial connectedness between the Moroccan and the above mentioned developed stock markets. In fact, the significant increase of spillover index during the post-financial crisis period demonstrates that the US and European stock markets were the most affected. On the other hand, despite a relative increase of spillover effects coming from the US and German equity markets, our results show decline in the total net spillovers experienced by the Moroccan market after the recent financial crisis. These findings may provide some useful information to support decision-making and trading strategies for international investors.
机译:本文评估了全球金融危机之前和之后分别以MASI,S&P 500,FTSE 100,CAC 40和DAX 30指数为代表的摩洛哥,美国,英国,法国和德国股市之间的回报率和波幅溢出效应的每日频率数据涵盖了2002年1月2日至2016年6月30日之间的时间。使用Diebold和Yilmaz方法,结果显示摩洛哥与上述发达股市之间的财务联系有所不同。实际上,在金融危机后时期,溢出指数的显着增加表明,美国和欧洲股市受到的影响最大。另一方面,尽管来自美国和德国股票市场的溢出效应相对增加,但我们的结果显示,在最近的金融危机之后,摩洛哥市场经历的净溢出效应总额有所下降。这些发现可能会提供一些有用的信息,以支持国际投资者的决策和交易策略。

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