UNCERTAINTY QUANTIFICATION OF SCIENTIFIC PROPOSAL EVALUATIONS

摘要

Peer review is an integral part of safeguarding the fairness of scientific proposal evaluations, but it is also subject to uncertainty, such as reviewer's bias and potential discussion under the table, termed "DaZhaoHu" in Chinese. In this paper, we present a mathematical framework to model the peer review process. Through sensitivity analysis, we numerically demonstrate that the number of proposals has greater impact on overall fairness.