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Does bank-based financial development spur economic growth? Empirical evidence from the Democratic Republic of Congo

机译:银行金融发展是否会刺激经济增长?

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摘要

In this study, we examined the dynamic causality between financial development and economic growth in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), using time-series data from 1965 to 2015. Unlike some previous studies, the current study used three proxies to examine this linkage. In addition, the study used savings and inflation as intermittent variables, thereby creating a multivariate Granger-causality model, and limiting the omission-of-variable bias. Using the ARDL bounds testing approach, the study found that there is a short-run causal relationship between financial development and economic growth in the DRC, but the direction of causality is dependent on the proxy used to measure the level of financial development. The study recommends that policy efforts in the DRC should be directed at developing both the financial and the real sectors in the short run as both sectors have been found to be mutually beneficial to each other, in this study.
机译:在这项研究中,我们使用1965年至2015年的时间序列数据,研究了刚果民主共和国(DRC)金融发展与经济增长之间的动态因果关系。与之前的一些研究不同,本研究使用三个代理对此进行了研究。连锁。此外,该研究使用储蓄和通货膨胀作为间歇变量,从而创建了多元格兰杰因果关系模型,并限制了变量遗漏变量。使用ARDL边界检验方法,研究发现刚果民主共和国金融发展与经济增长之间存在短期因果关系,但因果关系的方向取决于用来衡量金融发展水平的代理。该研究建议,在刚果民主共和国的政策努力应着眼于在短期内发展金融部门和实际部门,因为在本研究中发现这两个部门互为互惠。

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