Generalized Software Reliability Model Considering Uncertainty and Dynamics: Model and Applications

摘要

Today's development environment has changed drastically; the development periods are shorter than ever and the number of team members has increased. Consequently, controlling the activities and predicting when a development will end are difficult tasks. To adapt to changes, we propose a generalized software reliability model (GSRM) based on a stochastic process to simulate developments, which include uncertainties and dynamics such as unpredictable changes in the requirements and the number of team members. We assess two actual datasets using our formulated equations, which are related to three types of development uncertainties by employing simple approximations in GSRM. The results show that developments can be evaluated quantitatively. Additionally, a comparison of GSRM with existing software reliability models confirms that the approximation by GSRM is more precise than those by existing models.%fault prediction; project management; Software reliability models