Tectonic processes development with time in the areas of HLW disposal from expert assessment to prognosis

摘要

A methodical approach is given which is applied to prediction of the persistence of the natural isolation properties of the geological environment for a time period of 10~4-10~5 years, when disposing of radioactive waste in geological formations. It is based on modelling geodynamic and tectonic processes development with time and assessing their effects on the persistence of structural tectonic blocks. An algorithm to conduct the research is proposed.